Brighton VS Arsenal
Recent Form
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2026
Brighton
VS
Arsenal
0 - 1
Brighton
VS
Arsenal
Premier League
The American Express Community Stadium
2025
Dec 27, 2025
Arsenal
VS
Brighton
2 - 1
Arsenal
VS
Brighton
Premier League
Emirates Stadium
2025
Oct 29, 2025
Arsenal
VS
Brighton
2 - 0
Arsenal
VS
Brighton
League Cup
Emirates Stadium
2025
Jan 4, 2025
Brighton
VS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Brighton
VS
Arsenal
Premier League
The American Express Community Stadium
2024
Aug 31, 2024
Arsenal
VS
Brighton
1 - 1
Arsenal
VS
Brighton
Premier League
Emirates Stadium
2024
Match Events
Brighton
Arsenal
16'
⚽
E. Nwaneri
Assist: Mikel Merino
45'+1
Ethan Nwaneri
Yellow Card
Time Wasting
46'
⇄
M. ORiley
On: M. ORiley
Off: G. Rutter
Substitution
46'
⇄
B. Gruda
On: B. Gruda
Off: Y. Minteh
Substitution
46'
⇄
E. Nwaneri
On: E. Nwaneri
Off: Gabriel Martinelli
Substitution
61'
⚽
João Pedro
Penalty
62'
⇄
S. Adingra
On: S. Adingra
Off: K. Mitoma
Substitution
64'
Joël Veltman
Yellow Card
Foul
64'
⇄
Jorginho
On: Jorginho
Off: M. Ødegaard
Substitution
66'
⇄
Igor Julio
On: Igor Julio
Off: A. Webster
Substitution
82'
Yankuba Minteh
Yellow Card
Argument
84'
Mikel Merino
Yellow Card
Foul
90'
Riccardo Calafiori
Yellow Card
Argument
Lineups
Brighton
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
G
Igor Julio
#3
B. Gruda
#8
João Pedro
#9
S. Adingra
#11
C. Baleba
#20
Y. Ayari
#26
J. van Hecke
#29
P. Estupiñán
#30
M. O'Riley
#33
J. Veltman
#34
Substitutes
M
M
Arsenal
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
W. Saliba
#2
T. Partey
#5
D
F
L. Trossard
#19
Jorginho
#20
David Raya
#22
Mikel Merino
#23
R. Calafiori
#33
D. Rice
#41
E. Nwaneri
#53
Substitutes
G
F
Match Statistics
Brighton
Arsenal
45%
Possession
55%
11
Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
3
Blocked Shots
2
17
Fouls
14
2
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Offsides
3
2
Saves
3
427
Passes
519
368
Accurate Passes
456
86%
Pass Accuracy
88%
Team Comparison
65.8
Overall Strength
60.5
57.7%
Attacking Power
42.3%
45.7%
Defensive Strength
54.3%
52.6%
Current Form
47.4%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Brighton
Arsenal
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
33%
|
20%
Avg Total Goals
4.7
|
3.6
Cards Analysis
Brighton
2.3/Game
7
0
31-45'
2
46-60'
2
61-75'
2
76-90'
1
Arsenal
1.2/Game
6
0
31-45'
3
76-90'
3
Season Comparison
2024/2025
Brighton
2W 0D 0L
|
9:5
|
2 ppg
Arsenal
3W 0D 0L
|
11:7
|
1.8 ppg
2023/2024
Brighton
1W 0D 0L
|
6:6
|
1 ppg
Arsenal
1W 0D 0L
|
2:3
|
1.5 ppg
2022/2023
Brighton
2W 1D 0L
|
6:1
|
2.33 ppg
Arsenal
0W 0D 0L
|
1:3
|
0 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
38.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
73.7%
Both Teams Score
Yes
66.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Brighton
27.0%
Draw
38.0%
Arsenal
35.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 20 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 25 Shots | No | 99.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | No | 99.3% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 98.1% | Good |
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.0% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 90.4% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 88.4% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 79.1% | Good |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 75.3% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 73.7% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 73.7% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 69.6% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 68.8% | Good |
| Over 9 Corners | Yes | 68.7% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 66.2% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 65.0% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | No | 55.5% | Fair |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 54.8% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | Yes | 54.2% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 54.0% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 52.0% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 48.9% | Low |
| Match Result | Draw | 38.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-2 | 8.8% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.0%
Over 1.5
88.4%
Over 2.5
73.7%
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 0.5
1.9%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Under 2.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
32.5%
HT Draw
48.9%
HT Away Win
18.6%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
79.1%
Goals After 80'
31.2%
Goals Both Halves
73.7%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
68.7%
Over 11 Corners
45.2%
Home Most Corners
52.0%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
0.7%
Over 5 Cards
0.1%
Red Card
35.0%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.2%
Over 25 Shots
0.2%
Over 8 On Target
69.6%
Home More Shots
54.0%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
50.9%
Away Exceed xG
56.8%
Total xG Over 2.5
75.3%
High xG Variance
49.7%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
11.3
Total Cards
0.8
League Position
Brighton
61 Points
8
Arsenal
74 Points
2