Necaxa VS Toluca
Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2026
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
0 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2025
Jul 12, 2025
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
3 - 1
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Mar 8, 2025
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
5 - 2
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Oct 27, 2024
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
1 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2024
Feb 10, 2024
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
3 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2023
Match Events
Necaxa
Toluca
4'
⚽
L. Fernández
24'
⚽
V. Huerta
Assist: L. Fernández
25'
Leonardo Fernández
Yellow Card
Foul
32'
Tiago Volpi
Yellow Card
Foul
39'
⚽
F. Formiliano
Assist: B. Garnica
49'
Claudio Baeza
Yellow Card
Foul
54'
Ángelo Araos
Yellow Card
Foul
57'
⇄
A. Araos
On: A. Araos
Off: U. Cardona
Substitution
59'
⇄
L. Fernández
On: L. Fernández
Off: B. Angulo
Substitution
60'
⇄
J. Rodríguez
On: J. Rodríguez
Off: M. Ruiz
Substitution
66'
⇄
C. González
On: C. González
Off: Camilo Sanvezzo
Substitution
68'
Edgar Méndez
Yellow Card
Foul
69'
⚽
Camilo Sanvezzo
Penalty
72'
⇄
Édgar Méndez
On: Édgar Méndez
Off: F. Batista
Substitution
72'
⇄
M. Giménez
On: M. Giménez
Off: F. Madrigal
Substitution
74'
Dieter Villalpando
Yellow Card
Foul
78'
•
Brian García
Goal Cancelled
83'
⇄
B. Garnica
On: B. Garnica
Off: J. Godínez
Substitution
87'
⇄
F. Navarro
On: F. Navarro
Off: A. Rodríguez
Substitution
87'
⇄
J. Meneses
On: J. Meneses
Off: S. Saucedo
Substitution
Lineups
Necaxa
(4-3-3)
Starting XI
L. Malagón
#1
A. Oliveros
#3
A. Peña
#4
Édgar Méndez
#7
M. Giménez
#9
D. Villalpando
#10
A. Araos
#12
F. Formiliano
#14
J. Esquivel
#16
B. García
#17
B. Garnica
#18
Substitutes
D
M
M
Toluca
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
Tiago Volpi
#1
R. López
#2
V. Huerta
#4
L. Fernández
#10
J. Sierra
#15
J. Meneses
#16
F. Navarro
#18
J. Rodríguez
#20
C. Baeza
#23
A. Mosquera
#26
C. González
#32
Substitutes
M
Match Statistics
Necaxa
Toluca
51%
Possession
49%
12
Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
3
2
Blocked Shots
1
17
Fouls
14
14
Corners
1
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
0
0
Saves
3
351
Passes
372
272
Accurate Passes
289
77%
Pass Accuracy
78%
Team Comparison
46.7
Overall Strength
41.7
46.3%
Attacking Power
53.7%
57.7%
Defensive Strength
42.3%
54.2%
Current Form
45.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Necaxa
Toluca
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
29%
|
14%
Avg Total Goals
2.4
|
3
Cards Analysis
Necaxa
1.8/Game
59
3
0-15'
3
16-30'
7
31-45'
11
46-60'
17
61-75'
9
76-90'
15
Toluca
2.4/Game
80
5
0-15'
9
16-30'
9
31-45'
17
46-60'
20
61-75'
14
76-90'
16
Season Comparison
2021/2022
Necaxa
13W 5D 0L
|
38:44
|
1.26 ppg
Toluca
11W 10D 0L
|
44:60
|
1.23 ppg
2020/2021
Necaxa
9W 8D 0L
|
30:50
|
1 ppg
Toluca
13W 8D 0L
|
55:60
|
1.24 ppg
2019/2020
Necaxa
14W 6D 0L
|
57:44
|
1.5 ppg
Toluca
6W 9D 0L
|
32:44
|
0.96 ppg
Match Result
Away Win
Confidence:
34.1%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
69.2%
Both Teams Score
Yes
69.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Necaxa
33.0%
Draw
33.0%
Toluca
34.1%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.2% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.2% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 87.1% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 87.1% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 81.8% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 75.8% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 74.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 69.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 69.2% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 69.2% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 69.0% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 69.0% | Good |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 60.9% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | No | 55.4% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | Yes | 53.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 52.2% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 52.2% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 52.2% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.3% | Fair |
| Match Result | Away Win | 34.1% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 9.0% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.2%
Over 1.5
87.1%
Over 2.5
69.2%
Over 3.5
47.8%
Under 0.5
2.8%
Under 1.5
12.9%
Under 2.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
52.2%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
26.7%
HT Draw
50.3%
HT Away Win
23.0%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
25.2%
Goals in First 30'
75.8%
Goals After 80'
31.0%
Goals Both Halves
69.0%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
39.2%
Over 11 Corners
18.2%
Home Most Corners
52.2%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
53.6%
Home More Shots
44.6%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
52.7%
Away Exceed xG
53.2%
Total xG Over 2.5
69.2%
High xG Variance
47.9%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
8.8
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Necaxa
19 Points
12
Toluca
27 Points
6