Necaxa VS Toluca
Recent Form
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2026
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
0 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2025
Jul 12, 2025
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
3 - 1
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2025
Mar 8, 2025
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
5 - 2
Toluca
VS
Necaxa
Liga MX
Estadio Nemesio Díez
2024
Oct 27, 2024
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
1 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2024
Feb 10, 2024
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
3 - 3
Necaxa
VS
Toluca
Liga MX
Estadio Victoria
2023
Match Events
Necaxa
Toluca
2'
⚽
Camilo Sanvezzo
31'
Fernando Madrigal
Yellow Card
Foul
46'
⇄
F. Madrigal
On: F. Madrigal
Off: Á. Araos
Substitution
46'
⇄
L. García
On: L. García
Off: R. Aguirre
Substitution
46'
⇄
M. Giménez
On: M. Giménez
Off: H. Jurado
Substitution
51'
Alexis Canelo
Yellow Card
Foul
62'
⇄
D. Álvarez
On: D. Álvarez
Off: A. Rodríguez
Substitution
62'
⇄
A. Canelo
On: A. Canelo
Off: L. Fernández
Substitution
74'
Alan Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Foul
76'
⇄
D. Villalpando
On: D. Villalpando
Off: F. Batista
Substitution
76'
⇄
I. Domínguez
On: I. Domínguez
Off: A. Medina
Substitution
79'
Rodrigo Aguirre
Yellow Card
Foul
81'
⇄
L. Fernández
On: L. Fernández
Off: Ian González
Substitution
89'
⇄
Camilo Sanvezzo
On: Camilo Sanvezzo
Off: B. Samudio
Substitution
Lineups
Necaxa
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
L. Malagón
#1
I. Domínguez
#2
A. Peña
#4
F. Madrigal
#6
M. Giménez
#9
D. Villalpando
#11
F. Formiliano
#14
B. García
#17
J. Escoboza
#22
R. González
#24
L. García
#28
Substitutes
F
M
M
M
Toluca
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
R. López
#2
C. Guzmán
#3
D. Álvarez
#11
G. Gutiérrez
#12
J. Sierra
#15
Camilo Sanvezzo
#17
C. Baeza
#20
Ó. Ortega
#23
A. Canelo
#25
O. Vanegas
#28
Diego
#33
Substitutes
M
Match Statistics
Necaxa
Toluca
61%
Possession
39%
9
Shots
9
1
Shots on Target
3
1
Blocked Shots
0
15
Fouls
9
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
1
2
Saves
1
504
Passes
332
408
Accurate Passes
239
81%
Pass Accuracy
72%
Team Comparison
46.7
Overall Strength
41.7
46.3%
Attacking Power
53.7%
57.7%
Defensive Strength
42.3%
54.2%
Current Form
45.8%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Necaxa
Toluca
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
29%
|
14%
Avg Total Goals
2.4
|
3
Cards Analysis
Necaxa
1.8/Game
59
3
0-15'
3
16-30'
7
31-45'
11
46-60'
17
61-75'
9
76-90'
15
Toluca
2.4/Game
80
5
0-15'
9
16-30'
9
31-45'
17
46-60'
20
61-75'
14
76-90'
16
Season Comparison
2021/2022
Necaxa
13W 5D 0L
|
38:44
|
1.26 ppg
Toluca
11W 10D 0L
|
44:60
|
1.23 ppg
2020/2021
Necaxa
9W 8D 0L
|
30:50
|
1 ppg
Toluca
13W 8D 0L
|
55:60
|
1.24 ppg
2019/2020
Necaxa
14W 6D 0L
|
57:44
|
1.5 ppg
Toluca
6W 9D 0L
|
32:44
|
0.96 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
35.1%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
68.3%
Both Teams Score
Yes
67.2%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Necaxa
35.1%
Draw
33.0%
Toluca
31.9%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 97.0% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 97.0% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 86.6% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 86.6% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 80.7% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 73.8% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 68.3% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 68.3% | Fair |
| Goals After 80' | No | 67.5% | Good |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 67.2% | Good |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 66.0% | Good |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 61.5% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 59.3% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 57.5% | Fair |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 54.4% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 53.2% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 53.2% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.8% | Fair |
| Match Result | Home Win | 35.1% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 2-1 | 9.1% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
97.0%
Over 1.5
86.6%
Over 2.5
68.3%
Over 3.5
46.8%
Under 0.5
3.0%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Under 2.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
53.2%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
28.3%
HT Draw
50.8%
HT Away Win
20.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
73.8%
Goals After 80'
32.5%
Goals Both Halves
66.0%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
40.7%
Over 11 Corners
19.3%
Home Most Corners
61.5%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
45.6%
Home More Shots
57.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
54.2%
Away Exceed xG
51.4%
Total xG Over 2.5
68.3%
High xG Variance
47.6%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.0
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Necaxa
19 Points
12
Toluca
27 Points
6