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Frozen pre-match forecast · #99881

Hoogstraten VS Roeselare Daisel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.15%
Draw
23.36%
Away
48.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9017
Log loss
1.4541

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
df15465b83feb1ffd0afa88c8fe0a2410894879d4aa3ddb39857b827578df3ca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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