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Frozen pre-match forecast · #99879

Tubize VS Meux

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.25%
Draw
25.32%
Away
32.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6992
Log loss
1.1261

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
a079587807cd5659aadb84440fbca231b22a3e7b60aa97a4c3a7ae3eb43a89af

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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