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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9948

Sárisápi Bányász VS Balatonalmádi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.99%
Draw
33.23%
Away
16.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3886
Log loss
0.6932

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:55 UTC
SHA-256
abd39a8ef9220e0c1cb782db580c922251b4f82ce68f8e081bc10a61e94c6f07

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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