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Frozen pre-match forecast · #99218

Peterhead VS Cove Rangers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.16%
Draw
27.56%
Away
37.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6354
Log loss
1.0453

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
ab22e3344b7137a0ab3eaec5bf2c35948e70177230e1972dba6e505c0f9c60a9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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