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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98884

Nové Sady VS Břeclav

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.82%
Draw
20.13%
Away
62.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
1.1009
Log loss
1.7248

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
37250b924805d34def370c19170bb8a7de59a18dca61eeab2f6fc9cc26fd4bf9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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