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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98871

Baník Prievidza VS Spartak Myjava

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.43%
Draw
25.13%
Away
33.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5180
Log loss
0.8812

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
SHA-256
96b7970d0f8a5b643c4355ea9095523fba35d92b8474dd3c47e118a6ec09ce48

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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