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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98728

Križevci VS Solin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.30%
Draw
25.35%
Away
27.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8158
Log loss
1.2965

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
SHA-256
e36a46697f9f2a6b4ea7f720978847eb083d78e99f590a91c61067241a064788

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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