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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98727

Inter Zapresic VS Bjelovar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.66%
Draw
25.43%
Away
36.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8341
Log loss
1.3692

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
SHA-256
ee5281187a73aa228d70d839d0ddb6deddfa1046ebaa71ddd670d13a23105484

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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