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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98677

Berca VS Râmnicu Sărat

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.92%
Draw
17.26%
Away
16.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 490-minute result
Brier score
1.1474
Log loss
1.7569

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
a2fd9c0a3d4810313133b357ff0d78e26f6e8a4f9121e363fa4abbe755a1bbdb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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