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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98658

Stuttgart U19 VS 1860 München U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.91%
Draw
15.64%
Away
18.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.1801
Log loss
1.8553

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
f0dfbce5fcb2f560052e90b8ba99b0e04e14c2205579f3c47e9bedc263b8a31d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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