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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98611

Vsetín VS Líšeň II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.18%
Draw
19.02%
Away
68.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1484
Log loss
0.3740

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
b4afbf1eabeea445b3fefc0e402bb65979ca0d0a3120157a529ebcf1d2fa901c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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