Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #98546

Energie Cottbus VS 1. FC Nürnberg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.06%
Draw
22.46%
Away
55.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
a8199e3010e8c9e024fb0b6620441c0bdac5000ef36d2b3491491ebc5c8f2d65

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →