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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98523

Da Nang VS Hai Phong

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.47%
Draw
23.96%
Away
22.57%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.9429
Log loss
1.4885

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
SHA-256
5c572599c951126d47d5551ebf70f786d437b44240d1fafce6c5ae2d34800a31

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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