Frozen pre-match forecast · #98412
Than Quang Ninh VS Xuan Thien Phu Tho
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 17 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 39.87%
- Draw
- 27.38%
- Away
- 32.75%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5438
- Log loss
- 0.9195
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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Explore additional markets, team probability history and opponent-adjusted form. Historical coverage varies by match.
About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 03 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
- SHA-256
- 5c6043ce4e7edfea3bdb5a1822e80c5cdf8cbc81bf5326c473d8490a9e32d49b
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.