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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98391

Sparta Katowice VS ROW Rybnik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.82%
Draw
19.91%
Away
15.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
SHA-256
f0947a6c736a435005f865bb32c463947ec33a566e2a4a6e5f95dfdcf03c0b10

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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