Frozen pre-match forecast · #9825
Triestina VS Bassano Virtus
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 17 Sep 2026 · 05:53 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 26.53%
- Draw
- 37.20%
- Away
- 36.26%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5962
- Log loss
- 0.9888
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 17 Sep 2026 · 05:53 UTC
- SHA-256
- 38103afbaf972c420dc7e797fde8b24b4bad340b299c7d5c19484a654a617782
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.