Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #98197

Madlenya VS PPK Professionals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.25%
Draw
28.51%
Away
36.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7667
Log loss
1.2549

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
8323f627c4ffff6ed64e184f4587c9c9031eaa482db0b11d2bf319dbbe1860d1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →