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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98103

Redeyef VS Bouchamma

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.34%
Draw
27.30%
Away
28.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4648
Log loss
0.8133

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
25c8aaa6f102aa3435bea4399ffdcb04c86263fa8b429d840bc350b86da83249

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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