Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #98088

AE Mykonos VS Pannaxiakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 10:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.46%
Draw
19.31%
Away
25.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2993
Log loss
0.5895

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
a13633cf96a32e60b143b8be623472ea00c71a025815e5361cd579c56545419c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →