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Frozen pre-match forecast · #98055

Telos Agras VS Panthouriakos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.91%
Draw
22.11%
Away
44.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4599
Log loss
0.7990

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
11577a8a3bd09cb95cb223c3b90e166e7e5c28e4a6cf4e5bba0280f4efad786b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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