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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97888

Tabor Sežana VS Rudar

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.04%
Draw
23.97%
Away
27.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4058
Log loss
0.7331

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
cc430ce663aa55f8cb3f9e14eb9ab67ef1dec10e6cb963a920ce8981310e0b45

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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