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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97704

Weiz VS Allerheiligen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.97%
Draw
21.47%
Away
26.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3473
Log loss
0.6545

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
29fd842f5616c5feec4eea602127fcf89ef14a08029223bd4695474b06b1ef47

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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