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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97666

Dodoma Jiji VS Singida Black Stars

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.07%
Draw
26.88%
Away
43.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8103
Log loss
1.3137

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
c2afdfb43bdc7a8de3eef10f590c937bce36686e9176ac5a60501e482e92a89d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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