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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97635

Slavia Praha II VS Vlašim

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.91%
Draw
24.10%
Away
40.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5282
Log loss
0.8918

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
90da1f8fb30bb9612af3d9126fc80f64fec94724159f9137a7a9433f59b63eb2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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