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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97564

Al Sahel VS Al Taraji

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Oct 2026 · 12:10 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.93%
Draw
21.42%
Away
20.65%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0111
Log loss
1.5775

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
530d74bc8218ebdec3370e8d21021758eb7bb15c0118f9adb3c6b9442389329a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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