Frozen pre-match forecast · #9749
Tienen VS Roeselare Daisel
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 17 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 24.01%
- Draw
- 33.45%
- Away
- 42.54%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6815
- Log loss
- 1.0951
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 17 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
- SHA-256
- 6ff50f5c6af8bad00095ac49d04d4033a29c319d23d4119e05c5199b0a2e5508
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.