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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97442

Al Ain VS Al-Ittihad Kalba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 13:10 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
80.37%
Draw
12.78%
Away
6.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.4114
Log loss
2.0573

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
4679453a8ca5306326749f08f68ed43e682585999c888b2934be13126a2a823b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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