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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97430

Masar VS El Dakhleya

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
08 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
58.26%
Draw
25.34%
Away
16.41%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2654
Log loss
0.5404

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
e33e5130410f0c259c3c68248489cd849a8a0eb9b4cc8467a7294f34b4b36510

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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