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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9742

Rupel Boom VS De Kempen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.90%
Draw
33.23%
Away
34.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6364
Log loss
1.0535

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
SHA-256
aa5f2547cd161dec3f14440593edc5947c1cf35d006592aa061e1a3b1d4c1123

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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