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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9722

Tukums VS Grobiņa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.90%
Draw
29.07%
Away
35.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7548
Log loss
1.2356

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
SHA-256
1214fc925b255861b15b4c14566fdf38f52041757646e0582c9a2fbb2c548570

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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