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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97142

India VS Uruguay

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.01%
Draw
27.04%
Away
39.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.5428
Log loss
0.9177

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
a2149e9add3b4ceb7a83b4ae8b5ae178c2008e8f24ca574040a7159874c0b959

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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