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Frozen pre-match forecast · #97082

Fana VS Åsane II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.83%
Draw
13.67%
Away
11.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0953
Log loss
0.2900

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
1a9c9fac138ebb1d2494cd735db91a23d2884b622621a9fc964b3c02047bb7d8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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