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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9706

Bassecourt VS Münsingen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.25%
Draw
34.11%
Away
35.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7299
Log loss
1.1957

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
SHA-256
d36facd5dd7592f70e64ce97ba271182cff306bfd75cac09023306f0975b7efc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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