Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #96960

Salamanca II VS Colegios Diocesanos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.79%
Draw
25.19%
Away
27.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4091
Log loss
0.7384

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
188a79a8b05c93222c9f1eceffaab420c77f97bf456d12db44e7017d31f05107

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →