Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #96926

Bezana VS Vimenor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.95%
Draw
26.53%
Away
26.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4221
Log loss
0.7561

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
77fc4d04d817ffa9242b75855cfd0a80ba5f5bae2f11ec56d1440e46b9a46dc7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →