Frozen pre-match forecast · #9681
Piteå VS Järfälla
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 17 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 20 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 38.82%
- Draw
- 28.80%
- Away
- 32.39%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5622
- Log loss
- 0.9463
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 17 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
- SHA-256
- 7750c1550bb8995c4d20560622216dcd95c4a5397fe803c5b3522b727a802ce7
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.