Frozen pre-match forecast · #96792
Almeria VS Burgos
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 14:15 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 57.79%
- Draw
- 23.89%
- Away
- 18.32%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.2688
- Log loss
- 0.5484
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- SHA-256
- c913f9049fa8cc21276dfac9d7a81bfa53b9c17df5e18a1f7d76704f4efb9fc7
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.