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Frozen pre-match forecast · #96659

Brusaporto VS Pro Palazzolo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.63%
Draw
26.38%
Away
23.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8937
Log loss
1.4275

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
436be655f2e0902ec2308258a15e1bad306564b156c17d232a9296d9f5a475bc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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