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Frozen pre-match forecast · #96576

Velká Bíteš VS Bedrichov

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
83.77%
Draw
11.57%
Away
4.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.0419
Log loss
0.1772

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
37df7e72f13f0cfe8b8a10a8c128b07ad12cef14727705a662266f58fa624e8a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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