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Frozen pre-match forecast · #96483

Rana VS Eidsvold

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.31%
Draw
18.95%
Away
62.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0969
Log loss
1.6977

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
74fab524b2456730237b69743cbe9737a19127e35e299f3db75640d3e8b43d96

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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