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Frozen pre-match forecast · #96365

Raja Casablanca VS CR Khemis Zemamra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.85%
Draw
24.88%
Away
15.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2464
Log loss
0.5133

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
44eb817df54ba756ded3adf098a748b2c1d60ad3109b0679c14c06ec2ea968dc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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