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Frozen pre-match forecast · #96187

FC Lebbeke VS Ninove

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.81%
Draw
22.24%
Away
34.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4986
Log loss
0.8483

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
9837766c3acef52fd6a23da9da56a67b403426fed60061452b6d8e2f3ed94834

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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