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Frozen pre-match forecast · #95938

India VS Brazil

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
1.03%
Draw
3.35%
Away
95.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.0031
Log loss
0.0448

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
353f76357ab7dcdc1ca19f0dc7bbd47df9c995daa9dd66669aa35654b0ddc1c2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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