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Frozen pre-match forecast · #95705

FK Romanija Pale VS Laktaši

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.47%
Draw
17.79%
Away
71.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3479
Log loss
2.2567

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
eb9d0e17e1ffff4307725ff8a13bc296cfd2dc3dd07325b94d2c76d722464094

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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