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Frozen pre-match forecast · #95686

Candango VS Canaa EC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.51%
Draw
24.91%
Away
52.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3375
Log loss
0.6427

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
04668bc7d892d04334f769b99a56631f07ffd5a3e55b64bd4eba742b4ee03be2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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