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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9560

Korea DPR U23 VS UAE U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.03%
Draw
32.78%
Away
22.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7039
Log loss
1.1154

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
SHA-256
10d76866899b306090092a167fd10bb75a10880e734a665d0caa84ce908ec5d0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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