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Frozen pre-match forecast · #95564

Cetate Deva VS Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.49%
Draw
23.34%
Away
24.17%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3386
Log loss
0.6445

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
9b4e73d4f790938f986c26eafbfc916ccabf44c14525ed7e3bd6dac1ddba8a05

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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